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Market Commentary & Outlook
Friday Fact: Indicators of a Hot Economy
October 2, 2019•2 min read

Friday Fact: Indicators of a Hot Economy

It may be chilly outside this spring, but two data releases this week indicate that the US economy is running[…]
Market Commentary & Outlook
Friday Fact: Consumers Are Divided on Business Conditions
October 2, 2019•1 min read

Friday Fact: Consumers Are Divided on Business Conditions

I noticed an interesting result in the Conference Board’s most recent Index of Consumer Confidence in March. The percentage of[…]
Market Commentary & Outlook
Volatility Returns in a Big Way: Our Reaction
October 2, 2019•4 min read

Volatility Returns in a Big Way: Our Reaction

Volatility returned in a big way earlier this week. Over the past few trading sessions, equity market volatility as measured[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
Should We Be Concerned About Household Debt?
October 2, 2019•3 min read

Should We Be Concerned About Household Debt?

The Federal Reserve’s third-quarter data on household balance sheets showed that household debt (two-thirds of which is mortgage debt) reached[…]
Market Commentary & Outlook
Trump’s Tax Proposal: The Opening Move in a Poker Game
October 2, 2019•2 min read

Trump’s Tax Proposal: The Opening Move in a Poker Game

Think of this as the opening move in a poker game. It’s unlikely that any of these proposals will come[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
Small Businesses and the Employment Mismatch
October 2, 2019•2 min read

Small Businesses and the Employment Mismatch

In early August, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released a small business survey that revealed an upbeat assessment[…]
Market Commentary & Outlook
Is China’s Renminbi the New “Safe Haven” Currency in Asia?
October 2, 2019•3 min read

Is China’s Renminbi the New “Safe Haven” Currency in Asia?

Has China’s renminbi unseated the Japanese yen as the new “safe haven” currency in Asia? Some market commentators have adopted[…]
Research Insights
Q&A: What You Should Know About China's 19th Communist Party Congress
October 2, 2019•4 min read

Q&A: What You Should Know About China’s 19th Communist Party Congress

China’s 19th Communist Party Congress is fast approaching. While the meetings are primarily a political event, they will shed some[…]
Market Commentary & Outlook
The S&P 500’s Extended Bull Run: Can It Last?
October 2, 2019•2 min read

The S&P 500’s Extended Bull Run: Can It Last?

The current equity bull market has been chugging along, enjoying unusually low volatility in recent quarters. The S&P 500® Index[…]
Alpha Engine Perspectives
Bank Loans: Don't Swipe Left
September 18, 2019•2 min read

Bank Loans: Don’t Swipe Left

Losing interest in bank loans now that rates have begun to fall? Here are two factors that might have you[…]

Full Discretion
Alpha Engine Perspectives
Subprime Auto ABS: Focus on Fundamentals
March 29, 2019•4 min read

Subprime Auto ABS: Focus on Fundamentals, Not Fear

The subprime consumer sector has come a long way since the dark days of the financial crisis. Borrowers, lenders and[…]

Structured Finance
Market Commentary & Outlook
Don’t Give Up on Bank Stocks Just Yet
January 11, 2019•3 min read

Don’t Give Up on Bank Stocks Just Yet

US bank shares are in a bear market. The KBW Bank Index fell 20% in 2018. That’s much worse than[…]

Global Equity Opportunities

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